The worsening chip shortage might value the auto business $110 billion in misplaced income this 12 months, consultancy AlixPartners mentioned Friday in an up to date forecast.

AlixPartners’ newest prediction is almost double its estimate in January that the whole influence of the semiconductor scarcity can be $61 billion.

The corporate mentioned it additionally anticipates that internet manufacturing of three.9 million automobiles can be misplaced this 12 months, bringing anticipated world light-vehicle manufacturing all the way down to 80.7 million items.

Automakers have been idling crops for days or even weeks at a time because the scarcity worsens, with Ford Motor, General Motors and Stellantis taking among the worst hits.

In latest weeks, BMW — which was as soon as largely unscathed by the disaster — additionally has reported challenges stemming from volatility in the supply chain.

In first-quarter earnings stories, most automakers and suppliers mentioned they anticipate the brunt of the chip scarcity’s influence to hit within the second quarter. Ford, for instance, warned it might lose half of deliberate manufacturing within the second quarter, although some estimates say the influence might fall properly into the second half of this 12 months or early 2022.

AlixPartners largely credit these losses to lengthy semiconductor lead instances and says the disaster has been exacerbated by different challenges throughout the provision chain, such because the severe winter storm in Texas and the hearth at a Renesas chip factory in Japan earlier this 12 months.

“We’ve had some exacerbating elements,” Mark Wakefield, world co-leader of the automotive and industrial observe at AlixPartners, instructed Automotive Information Europe sister publication Automotive Information. The extra issues are impacted, “the extra persons are in a extra desperation mode to get capability, safe capability, preserve traces working.”

Because of this? “There are actual modifications and actual classes that may be discovered.”